5 5 2 Rank in State, Class, District |
1463 -73 Strength Momentum |
1384 61.1(10) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.000 | 931 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1729 | 92% | |
08/26/15 | at La Cueva !! | 0.000 | 1493 | W 4- 1 | Better (+4) | 1640 | 44% | |
08/29/15 | Del Norte | 0.000 | 895 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1632 | 95% | |
09/02/15 | at Cibola | 0.001 | 1546 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1566 | 38% | |
09/04/15 | at Eldorado | 0.001 | 1533 | W 2- 0 | Better (+3) | 1610 | 39% | |
09/11/15 | St. Pius | 0.006 | 1289 | W 2- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1415 | 72% | |
09/15/15 | Eldorado | 0.011 | 1533 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1437 | 45% | |
09/18/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.019 | 1308 | T 1- 1 | Worse (-1) | 1397 | 65% | |
09/19/15 | at Mayfield | 0.022 | 1360 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1474 | 59% | |
09/22/15 | at Cibola | 0.036 | 1546 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1466 | 38% | |
09/26/15 | Rio Rancho ? | 0.059 | 1444 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-1) | 1392 | 55% | |
09/30/15 | at Cleveland ?? | 0.099 | 1384 | L 0- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1335 | 56% | |
10/06/15 | Atrisco Heritage | 0.026 | 964 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1722 | 92% | |
10/10/15 | Cibola | 0.274 | 1546 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1443 | 43% | |
10/12/15 | Santa Fe ! | 0.045 | 984 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1732 | 92% | |
10/14/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.380 | 1444 | W 2- 1 | Better (+1) | 1515 | 50% | |
10/17/15 | Cleveland | 0.498 | 1384 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1462 | 62% | |
10/21/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.303 | 984 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1488 | 90% | |
10/30/15 | Clovis | 0.866 | 1305 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1473 | 70% | |
11/05/15 | * Eldorado | 0.934 | 1533 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 1437 | 42% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Volcano Vista actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1384, while
Volcano Vista's "weighted playing strength" is 1465
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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